Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 8.551243 9.494386 10.524787 11.738580 13.134995 14.697935 16.589038
2025-12-07 6.991618 8.174154 9.554517 11.299672 13.468323 16.102696 19.588437
2025-12-14 5.985010 7.232972 8.753682 10.768886 13.408496 16.804722 21.599608
2025-12-21 5.370928 6.665860 8.299724 10.550550 13.632217 17.797883 24.024692
2025-12-28 5.339757 6.814201 8.744159 11.515854 15.498569 21.186798 30.262867
2026-01-04 5.062884 6.601392 8.673652 11.749301 16.344022 23.209441 34.781618
2026-01-11 4.663708 6.182929 8.275267 11.462247 16.373368 23.985237 37.411552
2026-01-18 4.488359 6.057713 8.271661 11.740640 17.272931 26.207315 42.806913
2026-01-25 4.200309 5.747797 7.972052 11.535476 17.375475 27.124515 46.027746
2026-02-01 3.958527 5.487042 7.722731 11.380317 17.532438 28.136203 49.576530
2026-02-08 3.733484 5.235478 7.467396 11.189349 17.601513 28.988127 52.944462
2026-02-15 3.519065 4.986262 7.197648 10.949730 17.556636 29.616416 55.951077
2026-02-22 3.354520 4.810033 7.039979 10.900295 17.874019 31.025183 61.059192
2026-03-01 3.128957 4.526892 6.695184 10.506424 17.527762 31.107185 63.231822
2026-03-08 2.904516 4.233266 6.315358 10.021759 16.962917 30.676563 64.112094
2026-03-15 2.755702 4.051689 6.107243 9.822372 16.918929 31.308168 67.720362
2026-03-22 2.822956 4.219580 6.486205 10.703243 19.072122 36.925751 85.596885
2026-03-29 2.762754 4.174847 6.501793 10.915998 19.906263 39.770041 96.850327
2026-04-05 2.626099 3.996019 6.275597 10.654373 19.723824 40.229077 101.262064
2026-04-12 2.583028 3.971777 6.316954 10.908107 20.665568 43.526400 115.447804
2026-04-19 2.473489 3.829101 6.140246 10.721130 20.622956 44.377780 121.967539
2026-04-26 2.377897 3.706003 5.991959 10.579672 20.667624 45.461338 129.655093
2026-05-03 2.283431 3.580698 5.833124 10.405503 20.620145 46.297514 136.758510